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Malaysia-Finance Blog
Monday, May 06, 2013
Lawan Tetap Lawan
Parliament Seats
In 2003, BN won 198 seats.
In 2008, BN won 140 seats.
In 2013, BN won 133 (+7)
In 2018, ????
State Seats
2008 – BN 344 vs 161
2013 – BN 275 vs 230 (PR +71)
http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2013/05/lawan-tetap-lawan.html
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Kadir highlighted that BN took a severe beating this round and bled more seats at both the federal and state levels compared to 2008, leaving it with only 133 federal seats and 274 out of the 505 total state seats despite wresting back Kedah from the Pakatan Rakyat (PR) pact.
Malaysian Insider
BN’s polls slump a ‘Malaysian tsunami’, ex-NSTP boss says
May 06, 2013
KUALA LUMPUR, May 6 ― Barisan Nasional’s (BN) weaker showing in Election 2013 points to a strong wave of rejection from all Malaysians and not just from the minority Chinese, a former editor of the Umno-owned New Straits Times said today.
Datuk A. Kadir Jasin observed that the 13-party coalition not only drew fewer seats in the 222-member Dewan Rakyat and 12 state assemblies in yesterday’s general election compared to 2008, but also lost the popular vote for the first time since polls in 1969.
“Is it not possible that this is not a Chinese tsunami or racial chauvinism but a Malaysian tsunami that is centred on the aspiration and new reality, especially among young voters?” the man who had been group editor-in-chief of the public-listed News Strait Times Press during the Mahathir administration wrote in his blog.
BN chairman Datuk Seri Najib Razak had alluded to a “Chinese tsunami” in an immediate speech just after midnight when the Election Commission announced the BN as winners by a simple majority, but the veteran journalist today brushed aside the perception as unlikely.
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/bns-polls-slump-a-malaysian-t
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JOHOR IS GOOD NEWS!
Free Malaysia Today
BN retains Johor but loses a third
Although BN managed to win 38 out of 56 state seats, Pakatan Rakyat wrested almost all the seats previously held by MCA.
JOHOR BARU: Barisan Nasional has managed to retain power in Johor by winning two-thirds of the 56 state seats, according to the official results from Election Commission last night.
BN captured 38 seats while Pakatan Rakyat achieved a significant breakthrough by bagging an unprecedented 18 seats in the BN stronghold state.
BN Menteri Besar hopeful Khaled Nordin, a former federal minister who shifted to contest the Permas state seat, won the seat with 5,752-majority votes.
He garnered 23,952 votes while his PAS opponent Syed Othman Abdullah received 18,200.
Meanwhile in the Pakatan camp, DAP has won 13 out of the 14 seats they contested, up from four seats in the 2008 general election.
The seats they won are Jementah, Senai, Pekan Nanas, Bentayan, Johor Jaya, Bekok, Stulang, Pengkalan Rinting, Skudai.
They also captured Penggaram, Tangkak, Yong Peng and Mengkibol.
Most of the DAP’s victories was achieved at the expense of arch rival MCA, who lost more than 10 seats overnight.
Johor DAP chief Boo Cheng Hau retained his Skudai seat with a 18,050-majority. He polled 33,692 against BN’s Liang Ah Chy who obtained 15,642 votes.
PAS, on the other hand, has improved its standing from the previous two seats to four seats this time. They captured Wangsa Maju and Parit Yaani while retaining Sungai Abong and Maharani.
BN retains Johor but loses a third
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SELANGOR IS GOOD NEWS!
If you had believed the mainstream papers, you would have believed that BN was going to sweep Selangor.
However, PR performed even better than in 2008. There was an increase of eight seats, out of a total of 56, a 14.2 percent increase!
Malaysiakini
COMMENT While still processing the mass of national electoral data, let us see what insight we can gleam from Selangor’s experience.
We’ll start by looking at some of the numbers, and then speculate as to what the results tell us about Khalid Ibrahim’s five years at the helm of the Selangor Pakatan Rakyat state government, especially vis-a-vis rural and semi-rural voters.
Of the four states governed by Pakatan Rakyat prior to the weekend, two saw a reduction in seats (Kedah and Kelantan), and two saw an increase in seats – Penang (an increase of one seat out of 40 total = 2.5 precent) and Selangor (an increase of eight seats, out of 56 total = 14.2 percent).
No BN state government increased their number of seats in this election except Negri Sembilan, where BN increased their number of seats by one.
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State seats: Breaking new ground
The final tally for the Selangor state seats were: PKR – 14, PAS – 15, DAP – 15, BN – 12.
…..the dramatic increase of eight state seats comes from PR winning 10 new constituencies (Sabak, Kuala Kubu Baru, Taman Templer, Dusun Tua, Seri Serdang, Paya Jaras, Sementa, Morib, Tanjung Sepat, and Sungai Pelek), while losing two old ones (Bukit Melawati and Kota Damansara).
PKR lost two seats (Bukit Melawati and Kota Damansara) while winning one new one (Sementa), DAP gained two seats (Kuala Kubu Baru and Sungai Pelek), while PAS made the most dramatic inroads, clinching the remaining seven new seats and almost doubling their seat count from eight to 15.
Khalid appeals to rural Malays
This dramatic increase in these PAS seats may indicate a very significant development. While Selangor PAS may be stronger than PAS in some other states, this alone is unlikely to account for the fact that they nearly doubled their state seats in Selangor.
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The newly-won state seats in Selangor are all Malay majority seats, almost half of which are relatively rural areas.
A victory in the state seats for these areas seems to indicate the success of Khalid’s state government in appealing to that extremely hard to reach demographic for Pakatan: the rural Malay heartland.
Note as well that in seats like Sabak (PAS) and Ijok (PKR, Khalid’s former seat), votes for the state seat went for Pakatan, while the larger parliamentary seat within which they were contained went to BN, indicating the possibility of some split voting, which in turns indicates different levels of confidence for Pakatan’s state versus national leaders.
Will Khalid remain as MB?
One possible conclusion that might thus be drawn from these developments is that while Pakatan has had extreme difficulty penetrating the rural Malay heartland throughout the nation, Khalid’s track record, policies and appeal may have gone further than any other Pakatan leader in helping to bridge that gap.
While having had to battle multiple fronts from within his own party (many elements of which seem to have failed to secure new seats or defend old ones), Khalid’s popularity among the general populace is well-recognised.
It would appear that the simple reason for this is Khalid’s commitment to simple, honest work, in place of incessant political manouevring.
The man may not be perfect, but his focus on doing his job right, and ensuring that the rakyat are given back all that is theirs seems to have struck a chord with voters throughout Selangor, even those in the demographic that Pakatan has had an immensely difficult time with.
Let us hope (or rather demand) that Umno-style internal politics within PKR do not result in Khalid’s removal as menteri besar.
After all, while there is much analysis yet to be done, the initial results seem to suggest that Selangor remains a beacon and example as to what a better Malaysia may one day look like.
NATHANIEL TAN works as a consultant to the Selangor state government, but hopes that facts and figures speak for themselves.
S’gor Pakatan rides the Khalid wave
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Black is the colour of mourning. Many are mourning the death of democracy.
That is a first step towards building for the future.
A group of Malaysian students gathered in black at Democracy Wall this morning at Hong Kong University to show… http://fb.me/1EuBnfpu
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IT IS NOT ALL DOOM AND GLOOM. IN FACT, THERE IS SOME GOOD NEWS…
SPR & NAJIB; Sistem demokrasi di Malaysia adalah yang terbaik
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We may have lost the battle but we shall win the war come 2018! Winston Churchill says Never Never Never Give Up!
Lawan Tetap Lawan!!!
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Malaysian Insider
The winners and losers of GE13
KUALA LUMPUR, May 6 — Take a bow, Malaysians. You are the big winner from GE13, you have firmly entrenched the two-coalition system in the country.
The days of Barisan Nasional (BN) having unfettered power are truly over. The result of 2008 was not a flash in the pan, it merely was the start of a trend. Yesterday, that trend continued and Malaysians gave Pakatan Rakyat (PR) 89 federal and 230 state seats and 51 per cent of the popular vote.
What is crystal clear is that many Malaysians want a system of check and balance.
Now the audition for the next polls begins. It is really up to BN to accept that despite the victory, much is wrong with the BN formula and that the non-Malays, especially Chinese, sought refuge with PR simply because the excesses of BN politics and overt racism in this beloved country have become intolerable.
For PR, today will be tough but the prized jewels of Selangor and Penang still remain in your clutches and your popular vote was some 240,000 over BN, despite facing a machine with billions of ringgit at its disposal.
But the fact remains that many Malays remain unsure about your policies and direction. And without the support of Malays in Malaysia, change is impossible.
WINNERS
Najib Tun Razak
Though the BN performed worse than five years ago, Datuk Seri Najib Razak’s position as the president of Umno is secure.
Nurul Izzah Anwar
Don’t think there is a more loved politician than this woman of grace. Some tout her as a future prime minister but her rise and rise in Malaysian politics is testimony that you don’t have to indulge in muck raking and negative politics to come up.
Tan Sri Abdul Taib Mahmud
He thumbs his nose at the MACC and doesn’t care what people think about his integrity or how well endowed all members of his family are.
Liew Chin Tong, architect of DAP’s victories in Johor.
Khairy Jamaluddin tripled his majority from 5,746 votes in Election 2008 to 18,357.
Bersih
The record voter turnout of 80 per cent and the largely peaceful elections are proof that civil society has a large role and place in Malaysia.
LOSERS
MCA
The party is irrelevant. They might as well convene an EGM and drop the “C” from the MCA because the political party does not represent the Chinese community.
The mainstream media
Time to punish the lies of the mainstream media. The Star, Utusan Malaysia, NST and others have dragged down the noble profession of journalism.
Datuk Zulkifli Noordin and Datuk Ibrahim Ali
And the gongs for the most popular losers go to the BN candidates for Shah Alam and Pasir Mas. May these two Perkasa chaps fade away.
They represent something which no country needs: divisiveness. How both are feted/treated will be a measure of Najib’s commitment to reconciliation.
Racism
Last night, Najib blamed opposition politics for the strong swing of Chinese voters away from BN.
We suggest that detailed analyses be kept until all the data is in but it is likely that the Indians also did not return to BN in a big way.
Election Commission
The less said about this bunch, the better. Impartial? No. Professional? No. We am not talking about the thousands of volunteers and ground level staff of the EC, we are referring to the upper echelon of the EC. The ones who ignored all the complaints and said it was business as usual.
The ones who gave excuses for the indelible ink, and the lack of preparedness in running the general election. Time for the government to put in professionals to run an election, not retired civil servants who see this as a reward for their careers.
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/the-winners-and-losers-of-ge13/
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Pakatan should not concede defeat. My family’s slogan is “Tan Family Never Give Up”. It was passed on from my grandfather Tan Sri Dr Tan Chee Khoon, a past opposition leader like Anwar Ibrahim, to my father and my father passed this motto in life on to me. So I say “MALAYSIANS NEVER GIVE UP”.
Malaysia Chronicle
Monday, 06 May 2013 11:32
MALAYSIANS NEVER GIVE UP: No, Anwar – don’t concede defeat!
Written by Tan Su Mei
Disappointed but the fight goes on
I am left with the following questions from my Malaysia Chronicle Editor, Wong Choon Mei:
1. How do you feel upon receiving the news that BN has won again
Obviously I am disappointed to hear that their cheating tactics have worked, by I am not disheartened or defeated. The fight goes on and there will always be struggles within politics to fight for a better nation and world … that is just life. Even if Pakatan won, there will still be opposing parties of unsatisfied people which is natural in life!
2. Do you want Pakatan to concede defeat? What would you like Opposition Leader Anwar Ibrahim to do?
I was at the press conference where several of the victorious PKR leaders gathered after the elections and Anwar Ibrahim officially stated that he has not conceded defeat given the proven flaws of the Election Commission. On the ground level, someone in Facebook has even started an online petition to appeal to the UN to look in to the matters. In other words NO !
Pakatan should not concede defeat. My family’s slogan is “Tan Family Never Give Up”. It was passed on from my grandfather Tan Sri Dr Tan Chee Khoon, a past opposition leader like Anwar Ibrahim, to my father and my father passed this motto in life on to me. So I say “MALAYSIANS NEVER GIVE UP”.
If BN wants to win using dirty tactics, they are going to get the rakyat even more angry and fueled up for change. So see you on the streets or see you in 5 years time during the next elections, to me it makes no difference!
Anyway, WHATEVER LAH – the fight goes on and don’t loose hope.
peace and love
sudechabei
(sudechabei or Su’s cup of tea is the pen name of Tan Su Mei. She blogs at sudechabei.net)
http://www.malaysia-chronicle.com/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=97441:malaysians-n
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Malaysiakini
3.29am: The final tally is BN – 133, Pakatan Rakyat – 89. Pakatan scores a net gain of seven seats.
Here are some quick observations:
1) Pakatan lost Kedah. The three states that Pakatan Rakyat has retained – Selangor, Penang and Kelantan – were all won with a two-thirds majority:
Selangor – Pakatan 44, BN 12;
Penang – Pakatan 30, BN 10;
Kelantan – Pakatan 33, BN 12 (reduced majority but retains 2/3rds majority)
2) MCA is left with seven parliamentary seats (down from 15), while Gerakan is left with one (down from two). The sole Gerakan seat is Simpang Renggam in Johor, which was successfully defended by Liang Teck Meng.
Interestingly, MCA lost of its three seats to Malay candidates – Raub (lost to DAP), Lumut and Pandan (lost to PKR).
3) DAP is the biggest winner (it gained 10 seats overall), while PKR and PAS lost one and two seats respectively compared to the 2008 results.
DAP – 38 (gain 10)
PKR – 30 (lost 1)
PAS – 21 (lost 2)
4) The seven additional seats gained by Pakatan are from Sabah (two seats) and Sarawak (five seats).
5) On the BN side, Umno is a major winning, picking up nine additional seats, while MIC fare slightly better than 2008 with an uptick in Indian support and the biggest losers are MCA and Gerakan.
Umno – 88 (gain 9)
MCA – 7 (lost 8)
MIC – 4 (gain 1)
Gerakan – 1 (lost 1)
6) Early calculations indicate that Pakatan Rakyat has won slightly more of the popular vote than BN nationwide – 50% against 49% (1% others).
BN retains Putrajaya, Pakatan gains seven seats
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