If AirAsia and MAS merged…

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Arjuna Chandran Shankar/theedgemarkets.com
July 10, 2020 09:00 am +08

KUALA LUMPUR (July 10): Khazanah Nasional Bhd is not discounting the possibility of a merger between Malaysia Airlines Bhd and AirAsia group, which consists of two listed entities — AirAsia Group Bhd and AirAsia X Bhd (AAX).

“In life, never say never to anything,” replied Khazanah’s managing director (MD) Datuk Shahril Ridza Ridzuan when asked if the proposal on merger between Malaysia Airlines and AirAsia was off the table in an interview with Bloomberg TV.

Shahril commented that moving forward, airlines will have to cooperate with each other in order to weather and recover from the disruption caused by Covid-19.

He noted that last year Khazanah mulled over several options for Malaysia Airlines, deciding that business partnerships such as Japan Airlines was the best way forward at that time.

Shahril’s statement comes at a point where the aviation industry has been brought to its knees because of the worldwide travel bans to contain the Covid-19 pandemic.

However, it is worth noting that Finance Minister Datuk Seri Tengku Zafrul Aziz and Malaysia Airlines denied a recent news report that said Khazanah had approved some RM5 billion in funding for the national carrier.

In an interview with The Edge weekly last month, Zafrul stressed that the government had no plans to bail out any airlines, but he noted that airlines could seek loans from Danajamin Nasional Bhd.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/airasiamalaysia-airlines-merger-khazanah-md-says-never-say-never

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KHAZANAH Nasional Bhd has not discounted the possible merger between Malaysia Airlines Bhd (MAB) and the AirAsia group.

“In life, never say never to anything,” Khazanah managing director Shahril Ridza Ridzuan told Bloomberg TV in a recent interview.

He also said Khazanah considered several options for Malaysia Airlines and business partnerships such as that with Japan Airlines Co Ltd (JAL) was the best way forward then.

FocusM reported early this year that JAL and AirAsia were frontrunners to either merge or partner with the national carrier.

But Khazanah was leaning towards a merger with AirAsia as that was the way forward despite “high execution risks”.

The merger would only kick in after AirAsia Group Bhd and its long-haul sister AirAsia X Bhd became a single unit.

JAL proposed a RM1.12 bil injection of funds for a 25% stake and a proposal for KLIA to become a hub for Japan Airlines.

But Khazanah said that the MAB-AirAsia merger had “meaningful merger synergies” which the fund projects would bring in RM1.45 bil per year, a quantum set by a third-party consultant, presumably Morgan Stanley.

Khazanah hired Morgan Stanley on July 23 last year to explore strategic options for MAB.

Further, Khazanah wanted to push for a merger between the two AirAsias and MAB which would, in turn, be a listed entity. The caveat –  Khazanah becomes a minority shareholder of a larger and listed airlines group.

Essentially, this meant that MAB would be sold and managed under AirAsia’s fleet of aircraft.

AirAsia also had a set of exemptions which sees Khazanah footing a bill north of RM8 bil. – July 10, 2020

https://focusmalaysia.my/mainstream/never-say-never-khazanah-md-on-airasia-malaysia-airlines-merger/

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AirAsia’s takeover of Malaysia Airlines may cost Khazanah over RM8 bil

By Emmanuel Samarathisa |  January 20, 2020 5:30 pm | 

By Emmanuel Samarathisa

AIRASIA Group Bhd’s (AAGB) proposed takeover of Malaysia Airlines Bhd (MAB) will include key exclusions which may take the initial cost to Khazanah Nasional Bhd (which owns all of MAB) to over RM8 bil, documents sighted by FocusM show.

These include an RM5.4 bil financing gap for MAB’s six A380s, the exclusion of an RM2.5 bil sukuk, costs of staff layoffs, and the cost of cancellation of 25 Boeing 737 MAX 8 orders as well as other fleet rationalisation. All these total up to well over RM8 bil that Khazanah will have to bear even if MAB is acquired by AAGB.

The documents showed that last month AAGB chief executive officer Tan Sri Tony Fernandes pitched to Khazanah managing director Datuk Shahril Ridza Ridzuan a merger between AAGB, its long-haul unit AirAsia X Bhd and MAB (MergedCo).

This MergedCo would be listed on Bursa Malaysia and be a “Malaysian/Asean champion.” These were some of the pull factors that entitled AAGB to be MAB’s strategic partner.

Here are the salient points of Fernandes’ initial proposal to Shahril:

1) AirAsia Group is in the process of consolidation

AAGB, through AirAsia Bhd (AAB or AK), is in “the process of acquiring” AirAsia X Bhd (AAX or D7). This will see both airlines merge into one airline operation, retiring AK and D7 and only using one IATA code AK.

This enlarged group will serve the low-cost market, covering domestic and international segments, from short to long haul. This is also the crucial step in merging with MAB to form the enlarged MergedCo.

2) MH will be retired and placed under AirAsia group

MAB will be placed under Asia Aviation Investment Ltd (AAIL) which is 100% owned by AAGB. The IATA code MH will be changed to MY but will target the “premium segment” for both domestic and international markets.

AK, which is the merged company between AirAsia and AirAsia X, will aim for the low-cost segment for both domestic and international markets.

Further, AirAsia plans to retain the blue colour of the current MH but “with a refreshed, modern image and branding” while its low-cost offerings under AirAsia Group remains with its red and current branding.

3) No golden share

Post-transaction, the Malaysian government or Khazanah should not have any golden shares, or preference shares in MAB. AAGB also is demanding for complete control of management, including the appointment of key senior personnel, including the chief executive officer.

Fernandes wants “minimal government intervention” as MAB will be under the AAGB umbrella. But Khazanah may be allowed to have a seat on the board of the MergedCo.

4) Khazanah to bear staff layoffs and settle RM2.5 bil sukuk

AAGB wants to have full discretion on who to hire and fire from MAB but Khazanah has to execute the rationalisation exercise.

This includes bearing compensation and costs related to the exercise which may involve voluntary separation schemes (VSS) and/or mandatory separation schemes (MSS).

AAGB might retain pilots and cabin crew for future growth but other divisions are subject to “further deliberation.” AAGB will also not take up the RM2.5 bil corporate perpetual sukuk issued in 2012.

5) AAGB is seeking government and Khazanah’s help for clearance from the Malaysian Competition Commission (MyCC)

Having a MergedCo consisting AAGB, AAX and MAB is expected to trigger anti-competition problems. AAGB is seeking for the proposed transaction to be approved by MyCC. This is done to protect AAGB and its stakeholders’ interests.

6) AAGB will look to cancel, exclude and retire a number of MH planes

Six Airbus A380-800 are to be sold or disposed by Khazanah prior to the merger transaction. The reason is, according to AAGB, the group does not need to use the A380s as part of its operations.

Also, these six Airbuses have yet to be fully paid for by MAB. There is an RM5.4 bil loan financing gap for the six planes. AAGB does not want to bear that either.

AAGB also wants Khazanah to cancel the 25 Boeing 737 MAX 8 orders. This is to streamline planes to ensure that they originate from a single manufacturer, Airbus. Also, AAGB is worried about “current issues associated with the B737 MAX aircraft”, so it doesn’t see the benefits of adding the Boeing fleet into its current Airbus stable.

Khazanah is to bear any penalties arising from the cancellation, prior to the proposed merger.

AAGB will also seek to retire six Airbus A330-200 which are around 10 to 14 years old. These planes, according to AAGB, operate different engines, and ultimately would impact MAB’s turnaround.

7) Firefly to be excluded, MASwings to be sold, Brahim’s to be acquired

There are two options for MAB subsidiary Firefly. First is to exclude the airline entirely from the proposed merger. The second option is to include Firefly as part of the transaction but keep it as a separate company from MH and not as a subsidiary of MH.

Firefly can come under AAGB but be transformed into a business jet arm providing connectivity from Subang Airport, similar to London City Airport.

But AAGB is proposing that the Sabah and Sarawak state governments take over MASwings and for them to operate the Rural Air Services (RAS) routes.

AAGB wants to buy over Brahim’s to streamline in-flight catering operations to ensure cost efficiency and operations. – Jan 20, 2020

https://focusmalaysia.my/mainstream/airasias-takeover-of-malaysia-airlines-may-cost-khazanah-over-rm8-bil/

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