Health DG disagrees with the prediction of JP Morgan and Chase: Covid-19 peak for Malaysia was last week. But…

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The reduction is slow.

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Just as it was believed that cases had been reduced, up shot the number to 184, bringing the total to 4,530.

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Friday, 10 Apr 2020 07:46 PM MYT

BY SOO WERN JUN

KUALA LUMPUR, April 10 — The first and second phase of movement control order (MCO) enforced in the country has so far managed to lower the infection rate of Covid-19 with the country’s cases peaking last week, Health Director-General Datuk Dr Noor Hisham said today.

Despite that, he said the Ministry of Health (MOH) believes that the country needs a total of six weeks, or three cycles of the 14-day incubation period of the coronavirus, in order to break the chain of infection.

“Our prediction has shown that our trend is quite stable at the moment. We did not see any exponential surge,” he said in his daily briefing.

“The past week was perhaps our peak, because now we see fewer cases, so that is a good sign for us.

He was commenting on the previous predictions projected by analysts JP Morgan and the Malaysian Institute of Economic Research, where Malaysia’s Covid-19 positive cases was expected hit between 7,000 to 9,000 cases by middle of April.

“Their predictions are based on assumptions, whereas our predictions are based on reality,” he said.

“Which means we are using daily data, keyed-in data as accurate as possible. If you can get very accurate data, you can have better prediction.”

https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/2020/04/10/health-d-g-malaysia-likely-hit-our-covid-19-peak-last-week-need-six-weeks-t/1855516

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