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WILL BN RETAIN SABAH? IF IT DOES, HOW NARROW WILL ITS MARGIN OF VICTORY BE?
CHANGE HAS COME IN AN UNLIKELY AND UNWANTED WAY TO SABAH. THIS IS THE SULU INVASION, WHCH IS AS YET UNRESOLVED.
Sabah: It may not be over just yet!
Fall out from the Sabah Invasion
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Who will the Suluk community look up to as its leader? Will it be Najib or Anwar?
Free Malaysia Today
Who will the Suluks support?
Observers believe that ‘even a small swing’ in Suluk support in some of the eastern-coast seats could be a nightmare for Sabah Umno candidates.
Sabah Umno leaders do not believe that the Suluk voters in Sabah have deserted them following the Tanduo stand-off in Lahad Datu between Sulu terrorists and Malaysian armed forces.
“The majority of the Suluk voters are still with BN (Barisan Nasional),” said Nizam Abu Bakar Titingan, the principal political secretary to Sabah strongman, Musa Aman.
Many in the BN component parties like PBS, UPKO, LDP, PBRS and MCA share Nizam’s observation.
But deep within the Suluk community in Sabah, cracks are appearing.
If you talk to the ordinary Suluk men, the majority would still say they are “with the government”. And their leaders, in NGOs, too are issuing statements supporting the establishment.
The question now is can these Suluk supporters of BN be trusted.
Remember the Tanduo incident when the armed Sulu terrorists from the Philippines hoisted a white flag signaling a surrender or peace?
But while the white flag was hoisted, the Sulu terrorists shot dead two Malaysian armed forces.
Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak said our men were tricked.
In which case could it be that the Suluk community is once again sending a decoy to BN, to eventually surprise them by a swing in the Suluk votes?
Not so safe now
Observers here observed that “even a small swing” in support from the community in some of the eastern coast seats could be a nightmare to some Umno candidates.
The Lahad Datu and Tungku state seats and Silam parliamentary constituency (where Tanduo is) have consistently registered a huge dissenting votes against BN in previous elections.
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Local observers said that if there is a 30% or more shift in the Suluk and Badjao communities, then BN is in for a run of its money in east coast.
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