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2) “for example, that in the city of Tshwane Metro, more than 100 children under the age of 5 were admitted to hospitals with COVID in the first two weeks of the new fourth wave (Nov. 14 to 27). In the first two weeks in May 2021 wave, <20 children were admitted to hospitals.”
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) December 3, 2021
3) She added that pediatricians at the Tshwane hospital had told them, anecdotally, that “all” of the children ages 12-18 who were admitted were not vaccinated, even though they were eligible. https://t.co/ZdYaN19oFr
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) December 3, 2021
5) this hospital surge is also interesting because the positivity rate of cases is not even the highest for kids age <5. Highest positivity is in teens 10-19. pic.twitter.com/fewPjBsbAg
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) December 3, 2021
7) both cases (blue) and hospital admissions (orange) overall is soaring in Gauteng 🇿🇦 pic.twitter.com/bZ1pWUbPa6
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) December 3, 2021
9) well, this escalated quickly — look at the new Omicron wave (black) vs past waves in Gauteng 🇿🇦. #Omicron https://t.co/NJUazd8Rhn
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) December 3, 2021
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🌎FRI, DECEMBER 3rd – Global🌎
— Ryan Imgrund (@imgrund) December 3, 2021
1. France has the world’s highest Rt (1.57) while Netherlands has the highest per capita case count.
2. No Rt in the world can rival that of Gauteng Province (2.00), epicenter of the Omicron variant.#ImgrundInsights pic.twitter.com/rCVGjFlpom
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580 people in South Africa's Gauteng province were hospitalized with COVID-19 last week, up 330% from 2 weeks ago pic.twitter.com/H0rzdtIewl
— BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) November 29, 2021
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If you take a look at hospitalisations in Gauteng province, the epicenter of #Omicron, this looks like going through the roof for me.😬 pic.twitter.com/zpTTaN6pp5
— PoliticsAddict (@PoliticsAddictG) December 4, 2021
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Coronavirus case numbers in #Gauteng South Africa since 16/11. This is what exponential growth looks like.
— Julie McHamish (@julesmchamish) December 3, 2021
148 16/11
332
372
509
585
545
239
605
1018
1953
2174
2640
2308
1910
3143
6068
11535
16055 3/12
But sure, go to as many Christmas parties as you like….#Omicron
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We saw a similar thing happen in the United States between last winter’s covid wave and this summer’s Delta wave.
— Steve Miller (@SteveMillerOC) December 3, 2021
For younger age groups under 55 that were less vaccinated, the Delta wave was more fatal.
For older age groups that were more vaccinated, Delta was less fatal. pic.twitter.com/6usoM2mOuk
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NEW: today’s update from Gauteng, now on a log scale to better show current trajectories.
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) December 2, 2021
Steepness of lines shows how much faster the growth in cases and positivity is now vs past waves, and hospital admissions are now steepening too as the acceleration in cases feeds through. pic.twitter.com/xBNGzxmwhC
This is why:
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) December 2, 2021
South Africa’s weekly hospital admission counts are back-filled every day as new patient data comes in, so the figure for the week ending Nov 28 has been rising in recent days, from 580 in the data published on the 29th, to 788 in today’s report. pic.twitter.com/7I6Y3uMpyo
And that’s only the quantitative reasons.
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) December 2, 2021
We also need to be aware that Omicron wave in Gauteng currently skews very young, as @tomtom_m shows here, which would push case-hospitalisation rate down [but only while cases remain concentrated among young]: https://t.co/SH7lrvrXqK
But a clear warning on that from data published earlier today: researchers in South Africa find that the risk of re-infection is much higher with Omicron than with past variants, suggesting some evasion of immunity from prior infection (no data on vax) https://t.co/f88HmiFLjl
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) December 2, 2021
2) Some people are making the mistake of comparing deaths *today* to cases and concluding low severity. Current wave of cases is so steep it’s climbed as high in 20 days as Delta got in 42. If you compare deaths over a short period to a much longer one, of course they’re lower.
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) December 2, 2021
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Omicron might not be as mild as you are led to believe.
The impact of Omicron on hospital admissions (in Gauteng, South Africa).
— Alastair McLellan (@HSJEditor) November 29, 2021
Not pretty https://t.co/D2IunlWUxp
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Gauteng province (#Omicron central) last week:
— 𝚃𝚘𝚖 𝙻𝚊𝚠𝚝𝚘𝚗 💙 (@LawtonTri) November 29, 2021
580 admissions, 368 still in hospital, 197 discharged
Of those still in, 5 intubated of 12 on ICU, 38 HDU. 58 total on respiratory support.
Clearly very early, and people deteriorate, but doesn't feel horrific?
(wishful thinking!) pic.twitter.com/P5MH5G01oi
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People infected by omicron in South Africa are showing very different symptoms to those suffering from the delta strain, said the doctor who alerted government scientists to the possibility of a new variant https://t.co/l5pEJLVE2K
— Bloomberg (@business) November 29, 2021
https://t.co/N1wKwXEzQb https://t.co/QnBNp4ojN5 pic.twitter.com/V2ZeSrR4yR
— KittyPooh (@KittyPo80176717) November 29, 2021
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This might turn out to be an under-estimation of Omicron’s potency.
"Doctor who raised alarm over Omicron variant says symptoms are 'unusual"
— GoodMorningEurope (@BonjourEurope) November 29, 2021
1. South African health Minister denies any danger.
Health Minister of South Africa: there have always been variants of everything. Nothing strange or dangerous! https://t.co/uByBHimcUd
Sent via @updayUK
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I don’t that he is fear-mongering.
⚠️TRIPLING HOSPITALIZATIONS IN 2 WEEKS—In #Omicron epicenter of Gauteng Province, South Africa🇿🇦, there is more than **tripling of #COVID19 hospitalizations** in 2 weeks—➡️ from 135 hospital admissions to 418. This is data directly from 🇿🇦’s CDC @nicd_sa🧵https://t.co/VPLXj2720r pic.twitter.com/8NVCzZAls8
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 28, 2021
3) breakdown many #COVID19 patients currently hospitalized / in ICU / on ventilator in Gauteng 🇿🇦—747 hospitalized, 57 in ICU, and 23 on a ventilator. @nicd_sa doesn’t give the time series for all of these. It’s still early. Less hope it doesn’t rise further. pic.twitter.com/mbnLYpMxzv
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 28, 2021
5) of the 747 hospitalized for #COVID19 in #Omicron epicenter of Gauteng Province, 140 are receiving oxygen or on a ventilator—19%. pic.twitter.com/ghuLeVaibl
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 28, 2021
7) As a reminder, Gauteng Province is the epicenter of #Omicron where genome sequencing revealed it to now “becoming dominant” over even Delta. pic.twitter.com/nHY6838BK3
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 28, 2021
9) Also, don’t forget the well known lag between cases ==> hospitalization ==> then death. Cases have soared 6x already…. Hospitalizations are rising (see top), and death is a lagging indicator.
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 28, 2021
Figure by @Antonio_Caramia pic.twitter.com/MjmvKC3PNL
11) 💡Nota Bene in epidemiology— We also know that a more infectious disease that seriously harms fewer of those infected but infect more people ➡️ will ultimately maim more people (a greater absolute number seriously ill) than a high severity disease that is less infectious. 👀 pic.twitter.com/I7qn6d6tBf
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 28, 2021
13) Beware the misinformation about it being “mild”. That’s a poorly quoted excerpt. And it’s not based on actual hospitalization data (see top post above). Don’t be misled. https://t.co/AOkIXGBMRu
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 29, 2021
15) Here was @WHO’s official stances on all aspects of #Omicron — they still don’t know. But they acknowledge the increased hospitalizations is something to watch out for. We will have more epidemiological studies soon. Stay tuned.
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 29, 2021
17) WHO’s #Omicron assessment statement for November 28th, 2021: https://t.co/MmkJIfARWc
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 29, 2021
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Hundreds of ✈️ passengers that landed in Amsterdam🇳🇱 (61 COVID, 13 #Omicron) were crammed for hours together with “no masks, no distancing—300 of us in a waiting room which was not very large, tight against each other." Negatives just released—no followup!https://t.co/FoJFqLaBLz pic.twitter.com/J0g4hYADJK
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 29, 2021
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Update from GAUTENG/South Africa:
— Guido (@Guido44691892) November 28, 2021
• 2,629 new cases today, 7-day avg up 331%
• Case incidence at 8.5 new cases per 100k population per day, doubling every 3.5 days
• 750 currently in hospital ==> arghs
• % adult pop. vaxxed = 37.5% => dafür viele Genesene
==> R-Wert 1.94
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weehingthong 