..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
..
If it is a two-cornered fight, with PAS, UMNO and Bersatu joining forces, could Anwar still win? We will never know as none of the 3 wants a pact.
..
It will be a 4-cornered fight in Tambun: PH vs Bersatu vs BN vs PAS.
The incumbent, Peja, won on a PH seat but is with Bersatu. Don’t be surprised if he polls the lowest number of votes. He might even lose his deposit 😂
The main challenge will come from the man from BN – UMNO; but he will need the support of the PAS voters. UMNO will have to persuade PAS not to run to get all PAS supporters to vote for their candidate. Could that happen? 🤔
*In a 4-cornered fight, Anwar will win. If PAS gives way to UMNO, it will be a tough fight.
I think PAS won’t give up. It will nominate its own candidate.
..
Tambun is a Malay majority constituency but the Chinese and Indian voters make up a sizeable minority.
Malay 68.40%, Chinese 18.54%, and Indian 11.50%.
..
..
In GE14, PH won a three-cornered fight against BN (UMNO) and PAS.
In previous GEs, Tambun had been a BN seat.
What will happen in GE15?
The DAP will deliver almost the majority of the Chinese and Indian votes.
Anwar and PKR will have to secure the Malay votes. Can they get enough?
Anwar will need at least half the Malay votes.
..
..
..
..
..