Ho Ching: There are severe adverse events and severe adverse events. Not all SAEs have a causal link to the events predating their occurrence.

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There are severe adverse events and severe adverse events.

Not all SAEs have a causal link to the events predating their occurrence.

One vaccine trial volunteer was struck by lightning some 28 days after his Moderna shot.

Clearly, this SAE is no linked to the Moderna shot.

However, for other health related SAE, it is really really hard not to think of the vaccine as a causal link in some ways.

The typical definition of a rare event is 1:100,000, and an improbable event is 1:1,000,000.

We have some 10 billion covid shots administered globally, and should expect something like 10,0000 “rare” events; and 10,000 “improbable” events. This is an underestimate, as the rare or improbable events are not mutually exclusive.

Within Sg, we have some 15 million shots already administered. So we should correspondingly see 150 “rare” events, and 15 “improbable” events; probably a multiple thereof as such events are not mutually exclusive.

Some have preconditions, while others had been without any health issues, before their vaccine shots.

It is no consolation for the individual going through these “rare” or “improbable” incidents, though millions of others had only to deal with temporary side effects.

Hugs and good wishes and to everyone going through health issues arising from covid or the vaccines, esp if they are chronic or longer term issues.

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