10 March 2018
Invoke Survey predictions:
1. PH to win in Kedah, Perak, Johor, Selangor and Penang.
2. Two hung states: Malacca and Negri Sembilan.
3. BN to win Kelantan, Pahang, Terengganu and Perlis.
12 March 2018
It appears BN must have engaged Bangla workers to put up their flags / logos – They must have thot is a parachute!!
10 March 2018
The survey took a cumulative sample size of more than 200,000 respondents and digital sampling of over 300,000 online users in Peninsular Malaysia over a period of 18 months, Rafizi said.
Pakatan to bag 5 states in GE14, says Invoke
KEDAH, Perak and Johor will fall to Pakatan Harapan (PH) while Selangor and Penang will be retained with a bigger majority in the 14th general election due to a Malay vote swing, think-tank Invoke predicted based on a survey.
Negri Sembilan and Malacca, however, will see hung state assemblies, Invoke director Rafizi Ramli said in a presentation of the survey in Kuala Lumpur tonight.
He said Barisan Nasional (BN) will win Terengganu and Kelantan with almost a clean sweep and will retain Pahang.
The Pandan MP predicted that PH and Parti Warisan Sabah would win 120 seats in Parliament. However, the Invoke survey did not sample respondents in the Bornean states.
PAS, which currently forms the state government in Kelantan, will not win any federal seat.
A separate survey with more than 2,000 respondents, found that Malay support for BN in Peninsular Malaysia declined from 41% December last year to 28.5% last month.
Malay support for PH rose from 9.9% to 14.1% during the same period.
The number of undecided voters increased from 11.9% to 17%.
The number of voters who refused to answer who they will vote for remained at 22%.
The survey projected landslide victories for BN in Terengganu, Kelantan and Perlis while PH is projected to win 15 state seats in Pahang to BN’s 27.
“The PAS effect is beginning to matter here. In the east coast states, the PAS effect (on multi-corner fights) is huge,” Rafizi said.
Hung state assemblies may occur in Negeri Sembilan and Malacca.
PH is expected to retain Penang and Selangor. In Selangor, PH is projected to win 50 state seats vs BN’s six.
PH is projected to win Johor with a majority of two state seats, and Perak with a majority of 5 state seats.
Kedah is projected to be captured by PH with a majority of eight state seats.
19 December 2017
THIS IS AN EXTENSIVE SURVEY
The researchers managed to get 104,340 respondents out of the 8.36 million numbers that they called.
The survey was from 25 Dec 2016 to 17 Jan 2017.
Rafizi said this was the most comprehensive survey of its kind in Malaysia, and showed that predictions that BN would win in the next election were not accurate.
21 Jan 2017
Azmin: Engagement with rakyat more important than survey results
Selangor Menteri Besar Mohamed Azmin Ali has placed priority on engagement with the rakyat over the survey results released by PKR vice-president Rafizi Ramli’s Invoke Centre for Policy Initiatives (I-CPI).
“It is only a survey, but I think the most important priority now is for all political parties to go down and reach out to the rakyat and voters, to explain our policies and positions.
“We must be seen and we must get our act together as a strong and formidable force to face Umno and BN,” Azmin, who is also PKR deputy president, said when met by reporters in Shah Alam today.
The results of the election would be based on their engagement with the rakyat and voters, he said.
19 Jan 2017
Rafizi’s Invoke behind GE14 phone survey which caused alarm
BN is not behind a phone survey about voting preferences that set tongues wagging on social media for the past three weeks.
Instead, the preliminary survey, which asked respondents who they would vote for in the next election, was conducted by PKR vice-president Rafizi Ramli’s Invoke Centre for Policy Initiatives (I-CPI).
Among the survey findings was that overall, 41 percent of respondents would vote for BN, Harapan and Bersatu 24 percent, and PAS 21 percent. Fourteen percent of respondents said they would not vote.
It also found that only four out of 10 Malay voters surveyed would vote for BN in a three-corner fight.
Simulations it ran also predicted that if Harapan and Bersatu can win over sympathetic PAS supporters, obtain Chinese support similar to GE13 levels, and convince those who did not vote to cast their ballots, the opposition coalition may win the next polls.